Early Look

Tuesday, August 10, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	-19.00	0.05%	34,979
S&P 500	-0.25	0.02%	4,425
Nasdaq	17.50	0.12%	15,142

 

 

Stock markets are looking quiet again, as major averages have been holding near record highs but struggling for direction to start the week. Stronger economic data last Friday on the form of non-farm payrolls and declining unemployment helped boost sentiment about the economy, overshadowing any uncertainty over what impact the fast-spreading delta virus variant will have on the economy and comments from Federal Reserve officials about scaling back support. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained 68 points to settle at 27,888, the Shanghai Index jumped 35 points to 3,529, and the Hang Seng Index gained 322 points (1.23%) to close at 26,605. In Europe, the German DAX is up around 25 points to 15,770, while the FTSE 100 is down a few points at 7,125. Today a fairly busy day of economic data, but all eyes fixed on the inflation reports coming up tomorrow (CPI) and on Thursday (PP), to see if the four-month spike in prices is indeed transitory as the Fed has pledged or if it is something more troubling for consumers down the line. Earnings season has begun to slow, with nearly 450 S&P companies having reported this quarter, with only some big retailers (WMT, TGT, HD, LOW) remaining. Trading ranges have remained in tight ranges of late, as summer doldrums have kicked in early.

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index slipped -4.17 points, or 0.09%, to 4,432.35

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -106.66 points, or 0.30%, to 35,101.85

·     The Nasdaq Composite gained 24.42 points, or 0.16%, to 14,860.18

·     The Russell 2000 Index declined -12.95 points, or 0.58% to 2,234.81

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     6:00 AM ET         NFIB Small Business Optimism for July

·     7:45 AM ET         ICSC Weekly Retail Sales

·     8:30 AM ET         Non-farm Productivity, prelim-Q2

·     8:30 AM ET         Unit Labor Costs, prelim-Q2

·     8:55 AM ET         Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales

·     1:00 PM ET         U.S. to sell $58 bln in 3-year notes

·     4:30 PM ET         API Weekly Inventory Data

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: BSY, BTAI, CSPR, FULC, GTIM, IIVI, JBI, KPLT, LAND, LODE, MRNSD, MTNB, NAUT, OWL, SMID, SYY, TDG, TDW, VITL, VPG, VSH, VTNR

·     Earnings After the Close: AIRG, AVGR, BVS, CHK, CLSD, COIN, COKE, CSSE, CURI, DAR, DOCS, EPAY, FTEK, GO, HCKT, HYRE, JAMF, KODK, KTCC, LPRO, LRN, MCFE, MEG, NARI, NVEE, OPFI, PANL, PAY, PAYS, PLBY, POSH, PUBM, SFT, SIEN, SMCI, TASK, TDUP, U, UPST, VEC, WW, ZETA

 

Other Key Events:

·     BTIG Biotechnology Conference 2021 (virtual), 8/9-8/10

·     Canaccord Genuity 41st Annual Growth Conference (virtual), 8/10-8/12

·     Cowen Annual Communications Infrastructure Hybrid Summit, 8/9-8/12

·     Cowen 9th Annual Internet & Media Bus Tour (virtual), 8/9-8/13

·     KeyBanc Capital Markets Technology Leadership Virtual Forum, 8/9-8/12

·     Oppenheimer 24th Annual Technology, Internet & Comm Conference (virtual), 8/10-8/12

·     Piper Biotech Virtual Tour, 8/10-8/12

·     Susquehanna 2021 Energy, Industrials & Airlines Conference (virtual), 8/10-8/11

·     UBS Financial Services Conference (virtual), 8/10-8/12

·     Wells Fargo 6th Annual FinTech & Technology Services Forum (virtual), 8/10-8/11

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	1.05	67.51
Brent	0.84	69.88
Gold	-1.00	1,728.90
EUR/USD	-0.0018	1.1719
JPY/USD	0.24	110.53
10-Year Note	+0.002	1.319%

 

 

World News

·     The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index was 99.7 vs. 103.3 consensus, and down from 102.5 in June.

·     Germany Aug ZEW Sentiment 40.4, well below the 56.7 consensus; conditions 29.3 vs 30.0 consensus; expectations decline for third time in a row; concerns over 4th wave of COVID affecting German economy in the Autumn

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     AMC Entertainment (AMC) Q2 adj EPS loss (-$0.71) vs. est. loss (-$0.93); Q2 revs $444.7M vs. est. $381.28M; currently has liquidity availability of more than $2.0 billion; said welcomed more than 22 million guests back to theatres during Q2; said as of June 30, 2021, operated 593 domestic theatres & 335 international theatres

·     Calloway (ELY) 2Q adj EPS $0.36 vs est. $0.01 on revs $914Mm vs est. $753.1Mm; guides 3Q revs $775-790Mm vs est. $763Mm, sees 3Q adj EBITDA $51-58Mm vs est. $77.3Mm; guides FY revs $3.025-3.055B vs est. $2.84B, sees FY adj EBITDA $345-360Mm vs est. $295.3Mm

·     CarLotz (LOTZ) 2Q EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.20) on revs $50.8Mm vs est. $48.1Mm; withdraws previous FY21 outlook due to channel constraints

·     Chegg Inc. (CHGG) 2Q adj EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.37 on revs $198.5Mm vs est. $190.1Mm; guides 3Q revs $170-175Mm vs est. $173Mm; guides FY21 revs $805-815Mm vs est. $797.8Mm, sees FY adj EBITDA $295-300Mm vs est. $278.6Mm

·     DoorDash (DOOR) 2Q adj EPS $2.23 vs est. $2.09 on revs $662Mm vs est. $635.2Mm; guides FY sales +17-20% vs est. +14.5%, sees FY adj EPS $8.00-8.60 vs est. $8.50

·     Inter Parfums (IPAR) 2Q EPS $0.71 vs est. $0.43 on revs $207.6Mm vs est. $207.6m; continues to see FY revs approx $750Mm vs est. $758.1Mm, EPS $1.95 vs est. $1.93

·     Nautilus (NLS) Q1 EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.30; Q1 revs $185M vs. est. $169.05M; said Q1 retail grew sales by 91% or 107% excluding Octane, delivering record net sales of $120 million, while Direct grew by 26%; sees Q2 revs $145M-$155M vs. est. $153.05M

·     Original BARK (BARK) 1Q adj EPS ($0.09) vs est. ($0.06) on revs $117.6Mm vs est. $116.8Mm; guides 2Q revs $122Mm vs est. $120.3Mm; reaffirms FY guide, sees FY revs $516Mm vs est. $516.5Mm

·     Plant Fitness (PLNT) Q2 adj EPS $0.21 vs. est. $0.23; Q2 revs $137.3M vs. est. $127.2M; ends second quarter with total membership of more than 14.8M and over 98% of stores open globally; Q2 adj EBITDA increased $64.8M to $55.6M from a loss of $9.3M in the prior year period; sees FY21 adj EPS $0.65-$0.70 vs. est. $0.94; sees FY21 revs $530M-$540M vs. est. $541.69M

·     Purple Innovation (PRPL) Q2 adj EPS $0.05 vs. est. $0.12; Q2 revs $182.6M vs. est. $181.8M; guides year revs $820M-$850M vs. est. $823.6M; sees year Ebitda $78M-$88M vs. est. $81.8M

·     RealReal inc. (REAL) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.50) vs. est. (-$0.47); Q2 revs $104.91M vs. est. $107.25M; Q2 GMV $350M; said trailing 12 months active buyers reached 730,000, an increase of 19% year-over-year and 48% compared to the same period in 2019; Orders reached 673K, an increase of 53% Y/Y and 33% compared to the same period in 2019.

·     Tesla (TSLA) sold 32,968 China-made vehicles in July, including 24,347 for export, the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) said on Tuesday; local sales of China-made vehicles plunged 69% to 8,621 cars from 28,138 in June.

 

Financials

·     First Republic (FRC) announces offering of 2M shares of common stock

·     CoreCivic (CXW) Q2 adj FFO $0.46; Q23 revs $464.6M vs. est. $466.1M; Adjusted EBITDA of $101.7M; sale of five non-core real estate assets for gross proceeds of $328.7 million

·     SVB Financial (SIVB) 2.23M share Spot Secondary priced at $564.00

·     W.P. Carey (WPC) 4.5M share Spot Secondary priced at $78.00

 

Healthcare

·     BioCryst (BCRX) announces offering of $200M of common stock, warrants

·     Halozyme (HALO) Q2 non-GAAP EPS $0.66 vs. est. $0.40; Q2 revs $136.5M vs. est. $103.16M; raises FY21 non-GAAP EPS view to $1.85-$2.00 from $1.55-$1.70 and boosts FY21 revenue view to $425M-$445M from $375M-$395M (est. $404.5M) citing the recent signing of a new collaboration and license agreement and strong year-to-date results

·     Inovio Pharma (INO) 2Q EPS ($0.39) vs est. ($0.25) on revs $273K; as of June 30, cash and equivalents & s-t investments were $443.7Mm, says continue to evaluate and assess impact of new covid strains

·     Penumbra (PEN) 2Q adj EPS $0.21 vs est. $0.17 on revs $184.3Mm vs est. $170.8Mm; guides FY revs $720-730Mm vs est. $702.7Mm

·     Reta Pharma (RETA) 2Q adj EPS ($1.32) vs est. ($2.06); reaffirms cash runway through mid-2024, reaffirms plan to submit MAA with EMA in 4Q21 for marketing approval of bardoxolone for treatment of CKD

·     Rocket Pharma (RCKT) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.55); expects its balance in cash equivalents and investments of $426.8 mln as of June 30, to fund its operations into 2H 2023

·     Shockwave Medical (SWAV) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.01) vs. est. loss (-$0.41); Q2 revs $55.908M vs. est. $45.17M; raises FY21 revenue view $218M-$223M from $195M-$205M (est. $200.6M); Granted approval for a Transitional Pass-Through (TPT) payment for Shockwave C2 Coronary IVL device, which became effective July 1, 2021 for procedures in the outpatient setting

·     SmileDirectClub (SDC) 2Q EPS ($0.14) vs est. ($0.09) on revs $174Mm vs est. $198.5Mm; guides FY revs $750-800Mm vs est. $833.6Mm; Q2 average aligner gross sales price of $1,885 for Q2, compared to $1,817 for the second quarter of 2020

·     Steris Plc (STE) Q1 adj EPS $1.76 vs. est. $1.49; Q1 revs $968.4M vs. est. $904.9M; now expects as reported revenue of approximately $4.6B in 2022, an increase from prior expectations of $4.5B; sees year EPS $7.60-$7.85 vs. est. $7.51; free cash flow for fiscal 2022 is now expected to be approximately $400 mln; raises dividend

 

Energy, Industrials & Materials

·     Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. (CP) is planning to make a new, increased offer for Kansas City Southern (KSU), according to people familiar with the matter as per the WSJ, reigniting a takeover battle with Canadian National Railway (CNI. Canadian Pacific’s board of directors met Monday to authorize a bid that values Kansas City Southern near $300 per share, or about $27 billion – WSJ reports

·     AECOM (ACM) Q3 adj EPS $0.73 vs. est. $0.72; Q3 revs $3.41B vs. est. $3.23B; said total wins of $3.7B resulted in a 1.1 book-to-burn ratio; backlog in the Company’s design business increased by 8% over the prior year, including 7% contracted backlog growth, and total backlog of $39.7B continues to provide long-term visibility; raises FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $810M-$830M

·     Bonanza Creek (BCEI) Q2 revs $156M vs. est. $137.57M; average sales volumes for the second quarter of 42.3 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day with oil representing 49.5% of total volumes; Revising production guidance up from 40 to 44 MBoe/d to 41 to 44 MBoe/d, and lowering LOE guidance from $3.00 to $3.25 per Boe to $2.85 to $3.00 per Boe for Q3

·     Cabot Corp. (CBT) 3Q adj EPS $1.35 vs est. $1.18 on sales $917Mm vs est. $804.8Mm; sees 4Q demand to remain strong across segments, have been successfully implementing price increases to maintain robust margins; guides FY adj EPS $4.85-5.05 vs est. $4.92

·     CF Industries (CF) Q2 EPS $1.14 vs. est. $1.57; Q2 sales $1.59B vs. est. $1.62B; gross ammonia production for q2 of 2021 was approximately 2.2 mln tons; projects capital expenditures for full year 2021 will be in range of $500M

·     Nutrien (NTR) Q2 adj EPS $2.08 on revs $9.76B; raises FY21 adj EPS view to $4.60-$5.10 from $2.55-$3.25 and boosts FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to $6B-$6.4B from $4.4B-$4.9B; Q2 nitrogen sales jumped 41% to $982M from $696M YoY, Q2 potash sales soared 39% Y/Y to $817M from $588M a year ago; Q2 seed sales rose 7% Y/Y to $1.21B from $1.14B

·     Syke Enterprise (SYKE) 2Q adj EPS $0.73 vs est. $0.58 on revs $448.9Mm vs est. $445.4Mm

·     Phillips 66 (PSX) CEO said the company is considering the funding of a full North American supply chain for lithium-ion battery production, as it broadens into developing battery components for electric vehicles and storage systems

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     3D Systems (DDD) 2Q adj EPS $0.12 vs est. $0.05 on revs $162.6Mm vs est. $143.3Mm; guides FY gr margin 40-44% vs est. 42.5%

·     Cambium Networks (CMBM) Q2 non-GAAP EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.33; Q2 revs $92.7M vs. est. $88.17M; sees Q3 non-GAAP revs $88.0M-$92.0M vs. est. $89.44M; sees Q3 GAAP gross margin 48.3%-49.3%

·     Cloudflare (NET) announces $1B convertible senior notes offering

·     Digital Turbine (APPS) 1Q revs $212.6Mm (pro forma $292Mm) vs est. $191.3Mm; adj EPS $0.34 vs est. $0.31; guides 2Q revs $300-306Mm vs est. $294.6Mm, sees 3Q adj EPS $0.38 vs est. $0.37

·     Everbridge (EVBG) Q2 adj EPS $0.03 vs. est. loss (-$0.23); Q2 revs $86.6M vs. est. $83.91M; sees Q3 adj EPS loss (15c)-(14c) vs. est. loss (11c); sees Q3 revs $94.1M-$94.5M vs. est. $92.61M; raises year EPS and rev outlook

·     I3 verticals (IIIV) 3Q EPS $0.15 vs est. $0.28 on revs $62Mm vs est. $56.1Mm; guides FY revs $212-222Mm vs est. $211.2Mm, sees FY pro forma adj EPS $0.90-0.96 vs est. $1.04

·     Model N Inc. (MODN) 3Q adj EPS $0.16 vs est. $0.02 on revs $51Mm vs est. $48.9Mm; guides 4Q revs %0.5-51Mm vs est. $49.9Mm, 4Q adj eps $0.09-0.11 vs est. $0.02; guides FY revs $192.5-193Mm vs est. $189.6Mm, sees FY adj EPS $0.45-0.47 vs est. $0.23

·     Qualys Inc. (QLYS) 2Q adj EPS $0.79 vs est. $0.68 on revs $99.7Mm vs est. $99Mm; guides 3Q revs $103.8-104.4Mm vs est. $102.9Mm; guides FY revs $406-407.5Mm vs est. $403.4Mm, sees FY adj EPS $3.02-3.07 vs est. $2.71

·     SailPoint (SAIL) Q2 adj EPS $0.00 vs. est. loss (-$0.06); Q2 revs $102.5M vs. est. $99.24M; said exceeded prior revenue and ARR guidance with Total ARR up 43% YoY; raises FY21 adj EPS view to loss of (8c)-(4c) from (13c)-(5c) and boosts FY21 rev view to $408M-$412M from $404M-$412M 9est. $409.1M); guides Q3 below views

·     Squarespace (SQSP) Q2 revs $196M vs. est. $188.5M; sees Q3 revs $193M-$198M vs. est. $197.8M; said Q2 unique Subscriptions reached 3.9M, up 15% YoY, while average revenue per unique subscription grew to $193, up 6% YoY

·     Synchronoss (SNCR) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.27) vs. est. loss (-$0.20); Q2 revs $71.5M vs. est. $66.67M; reiterated it outlook as continues to expect revenue for FY21 to be in a range of $275M-$285M, and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $32M-$37M

·     Verra Mobility (VRRA) Q2 adj EPS $0.10 vs. est. $0.04; Q2 revs $128.7M vs. est. $110.19M; sees FY21 revs $510M-$530M vs. est. $491.06M; sees adjusted EBITDA in range $240M-$245M vs. $181.8M in 2020 and $241.4M in 2019; announces $100M share buyback plan

·     ChipMOS (IMOS) reports July revenue of $86.5M (+2.4% M/M; +28.2% Y/Y)