Morning Preview: July 20, 2021
Early Look
Tuesday, July 20, 2021
Futures |
Up/Down |
% |
Last |
Dow |
178.00 |
0.53% |
34,017 |
S&P 500 |
20.25 |
0.49% |
4,272 |
Nasdaq |
73.50 |
0.50% |
14,614 |
U.S. stock futures are looking to rebound after major averages posted their worst single day returns in months with attention turning to earnings reports. Major U.S. stock benchmarks dropped sharply on Monday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average marked its worst drop since late October falling -725 points (off earlier lows down over 900 points), amid growing concerns about the global spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus that causes COVID-19. The benchmark S&P 500 index ended down 1.6% at 4,258, getting a boost late day to push back above its 50-day moving average of 4,240 (off lows below 4,235), while the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 1.1% at 14,275. The declines for stocks came as the 10-year Treasury note yield fell to a five-month low beneath 1.18%. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the SPX option derived measure of implied volatility, lifted $4.05 or 21.95% today to close at $22.50 (off earlier highs above 25). U.S. crude oil slides below $70 in biggest one-day drop since September as OPEC and its allies agreed to increase production at the same time the COVID-19 delta variant threatens global demand. All 30 of the components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished lower Monday. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index declined -264 points to 27,338, the Shanghai Index slipped a few points to 3,536 and the Hang Seng Index dropped -230 points to 27,259. In Europe, the German DAX is higher by 50 points to 15,190, while the FTSE 100 rebounds 40 points to 6,885.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
· The S&P 500 Index dropped -68.67 points, or 1.59%, to 4,258.49
· The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -725.81 points, or 2.09%, to 33,962.04
· The Nasdaq Composite sunk -152.25 1.42 points, or 1.06%, to 14,274.98
· The Russell 2000 Index declined -32.56 points, or 1.51% to 2,130.68
Events Calendar for Today
· 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales
· 8:30 AM ET Housing Starts MoM for June…est. 1.59M
· 8:30 AM ET Building Permits MoM for June…est. 1.7M
· 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales
· 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data
Earnings Calendar:
· Earnings Before the Open: ALLY, BMI, CATC, CFG, DOV, FMBI, GATX, HAL, HCA, IRDM, KEY, MAN, MBWM, OMC, ONB, PEBO, PM, SBNY, SI, SNV, SYF, TRV
· Earnings After the Close: AGR, AIR, CMG, FOR, FULT, HOPE, HWC, IBKR, ISRG, NFLX, PNFP, PZN, RUSHA, RXN, SMBL, SNBR, UAL, UCBI, XM
Macro |
Up/Down |
Last |
Nymex |
0.25 |
66.67 |
Brent |
0.00 |
68.62 |
Gold |
4.70 |
1,817.35 |
EUR/USD |
-0.001 |
1.179 |
JPY/USD |
-0.07 |
109.39 |
10-Year Note |
+0.02 |
1.6% |
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
· Inter Parfums (IPAR) 2Q net sales $207.6Mm vs. est. $151.3Mm; guides FY net sales about $750Mm vs. est. $715.1Mm, sees FY EPS $1.95 vs est. $1.72
· Tesla (TSLA) Semi electric truck is finally about to go into production, Electrek reports. Sources familiar with the matter tell Electrek one of the last steps before starting production is happening as the general assembly line is debugged and the drive axle production line is ready.
Energy, Industrials and Materials
· Halliburton (HAL) Q2 EPS $0.26 vs. est. $0.23; Q2 revs $3.71B vs. est. $3.74B
· Crown Holdings (CCK) Q2 adj EPS $2.14 vs. est. $1.78; Q2 sales $2.86B vs. est. $2.92B; sees Q3 EPS $1.90-$2.00 vs. est. $1.79 and raises year EPS to $7.30-$7.40 from prior $6.60-$6.80 (est. $6.89)
· J.B. Hunt (JBHT) Q2 EPS $1.61 vs. est. $1.57’ Q2 revs $2.91B vs. est. $2.71B; Total freight transactions in the Marketplace for J.B. Hunt 360 increased to $500 million in the second quarter 2021 compared to $281 million in the prior year quarter. ICS revenue on the platform increased 73% to $396 million versus a year ago
· PPG Industries (PPG) shares fell -7%; Q2 adj EPS $1.94 vs. est. $2.20; Q2 sales nearly $4.4B vs. est. $4.36B and up about 45% yoy; Q2 sales volumes grew about 24% year over year, supported by strong demand recovery across many end-use markets; sees 3q sales volume +21% to +23%; expect that aggregate input and logistics costs will be sequentially higher in q3, compared to q2
· Steel Dynamics (STLD) 2Q EPS $3.32 vs est. $3.42 on sales $4.5B vs est. $4.22B, qtrly steel and fabrication shipments of $2.9Mm tons and $189,000 tons, respectively; says continue to see strong steel demand coupled with extremely low customer steel inventories; auto sector remains strong despite chip shortages; believes 3Q earnings could represent another record performance
· SPX Flow (FLOW) confirmed its Board of Directors previously received and rejected an unsolicited, conditional, non-binding proposal from Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) to acquire all outstanding shares of SPX Flow common stock for $85.00 per share in cash
· Vale (VALE) produced less iron ore than expected during Q2 saying Q2 iron ore output rose 11.3% Q/Q to 75.7M metric tons and climbed 12% Y/Y, but the analyst consensus estimate called for ~78M mt.; Q2 production of iron ore pellets jumped 27.4% Q/Q to 8M metric tons and 13.3% from the year-earlier quarter
Financials
· KeyCorp. (KEY) 2Q EPS $0.72 vs est. $0.54, NII $1.0B vs est. $1.0B, qtrly return on avg tangible common equity 22.3%; says will evaluate an increase to common stock dividend in 4Q, announced new common share repurchase authorization of up to $1.5B
· Silvergate Capital (SI) Q2 EPS 80c vs. est. 51c; Q2 deposits $11.4B, an increase of $4.4B, or 62.4%, from Q1, and an increase of $9.7B or 580.6%, from last year
· Signature Bank (SBNY) Q2 EPS $3.57 vs. est. $3.14; Q2 CET1 capital ratio 10.03%, Q2 net charge-off .12% and Q2 book value per share $106.24; Q2 net interest income for 2021 q2 was $457.2 mln, an increase of $70.1 mln
· Synovus (SNV) Q2 adj EPS $1.20 vs. est. $1.04; Q2 core transaction deposits increased $702.4M or 2% sequentially; Q2 provision for credit losses of $24.6M; qtrly net interest income of $381.9 mln increased $8.0 mln sequentially
· Synchrony (SYF) Q2 EPS $2.12 vs. est. $1.39; Q2 book value per share $23.48, Q2 CET1 capital ratio 17.8% and Q2 net charge-offs 3.57%; qtrly net interest income decreased $84 million, or 2%, to $3.3 billion
· Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks fall in premarket trading after the selloff in Bitcoin accelerated and pushed the token below $30,000 for the first time in around a month, down over 3% at $29,600 while Ethereum prices fall over 4% to $1,750 (shares of MARA, RIOT, MSTR lower)
· BCB Bancorp (BCBC) 2Q EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.40, NII $24.1Mm vs. est. $23.7Mm; increases qtrly dividend to $0.16/share
· Chubb Limited (CB) announced its Board of Directors has authorized a new one-time incremental share repurchase program of up to $5 billion through June 30, 2022
· Equity LifeStyle Properties (ELS) 2Q adj FFO $0.61 vs est. $0.55; revs $156.2Mm vs est. $158.8Mm; sees Q3 FFO $0.59-$0.65 and year $2.42-$2.52 vs. est. $0.65 and $2.40 respectively
· FB Financial (FBK) 2Q adj EPS $0.88 vs est. $0.75; NII on tax-equivalent basis $87.3Mm vs est. $83.8Mm
· FNB Corp. (FNB) Q2 EPS $0.31 vs. est. $0.29; Q2 revs 4308M vs. est. $305.7M; Q2 net interest income (NII) $227.9M; Total average deposits grew $3.2 billion, or 11.9%, led by increases in average non-interest-bearing deposits of $1.9 billion, or 23.5%
· PacWest Bancorp. (PACW) Q2 EPS $1.52 vs. est. $0.97; Q2 net interest income $270.1M vs. $264.6M in Q1
· ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) 2Q EPS $0.92 vs. est. $0.93, total loans grew $517.3 ex impact of PPP, deposits +17% yr/yr
· Wintrust Financial (WTFC) Q2 EPS $1.70 vs. est. $1.59; Q2 net interest income $279.6M vs. $263.1MM last year; Q2 net interest margin 2.62% vs. 2.73% last year
· Zion Bancorp (ZION) 2Q EPS $2.08 vs est. $1.29, CET1 ratio 11.3% vs 10.2% at beginning of pandemic; released more than $120Mm of allowance for credit losses
Healthcare
· Ardelyx (ARDX) shares tumble 75%; received a letter from the FDA on July 13 stating that, as part of its ongoing review of the co’s New Drug Application for the control of serum phosphorus in adult patients with chronic kidney disease on dialysis, the FDA has identified deficiencies that preclude discussion of labeling and post-marketing requirements/commitments at this time
· Cytokinetics (CYTK) announces $200M common stock offering
· Thousands of opioid-crisis lawsuits filed against major drugmakers and distributors are nearing a conclusion, with the outlines of a $26 billion deal between states and four companies expected to be announced this week and a $1 billion settlement to resolve some of New York’s claims likely on Tuesday, Dow Jones reported. Drug distributors AmerisourceBergen Corp. (ABC), Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH) and McKesson Corp. (MCK) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) have been negotiating the $26 billion settlement for more than two years
· HCW Biologics (HCWB) 7M share IPO priced at $8.00
· PLx Pharma (PLXLP) rises after saying Vazalore, a liquid-filled aspirin capsule, will be available in over 8,000 Walgreens (WBA) stores across U.S. in August
· Regeneron (REGN) announced that Japan’s Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, or MHLW, has approved Regeneron’s casirivimab and imdevimab antibody cocktail to treat patients with mild to moderate COVID-19
Technology, Media & Telecom
· IBM Corp. (IBM) Q2 operating $2.33 vs. est. $2.29; Q2 revs $18.75B vs. est. $18.29B; Q2 cloud & cognitive software revs up 6% to $6.1B, Q2 Global Business revenue $4.3B, up 11.6% and Q2 Global Technology Services revenue $6.3B, up 0.4%; GAAP gross profit margin of 48.0%, flat; said it sees FY revenue to grow based on mid-July 2021 foreign exchange rates and continues to expect adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021
· Omnicom (OMC) 2Q EPS $1.60 vs est. $1.38 on revs $3.57B vs est. $3.38B (organic +24.4%); says experienced improvement in biz in 2Q, op mgn 15.9% vs est. 14.3%
· Rapid7, Inc. (RPD) acquired IntSights Cyber Intelligence Ltd., a leader in contextualized external threat intelligence and proactive threat remediation for approximately $335 million in cash and stock; RPD sees revs and adj EPS above high end of prior guidance
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Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.